Declining trend of fertility change: a parity progression ratio approach

K.K. Singh, Banaras Hindu University
Brijesh P. Singh, Banaras Hindu University

Different National Family Health Survey (NFHS) in India reveals that the total fertility is in declining trend. The estimation of trends of parity progression ratios (PPR here after) obtained in birth history surveys has recently become more important. PPR, the proportion of women with an ith births who continue to an (i+1)th birth during their lifetime is a sensitive indicator of changes in family-building process which follow the adoption of contraception. PPR can be obtained through birth interval or birth order data. In the present study the declining fertility change in Uttar Pradesh the most populous state of India is studied by using parity progression ratios through birth order data. The data for the analysis has been taken from all rounds of NFHS in India. Findings reveal that after parity two there is declining trend in the fertility of Uttar Pradesh Females. Still the females live in the traditional society like Uttar Pradesh believed in two child norm.