Projection of population by level of educational attainment, age, and sex for Turkey, 2000-2050

Mustafa Murat Yüceşahin, Ankara University
Samir KC, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Turkey is a geographically diverse country, and an important component of that diversity is demographic. Regions of the country vary markedly in the age structure of the population and even more conspicuously in such characteristics as fertility and infant and child mortality. Spatial differences in demography (fertility, infant/child mortality, and migration) by education can be discussed and explained in terms of both demographic. In such a framework of analysis, it may be possible to demonstrate that there are significant and intriguing geographical differences in demography, and to evaluate the extent to which these differentials can be accounted for on the basis of different spatial levels. Population estimates make up one of the most widely used products of demographic analyses, and these estimates for states, counties, provinces, and other places are important for planning what types of services to offer and the future structure of populations. Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component method, we produce projection for Turkey by five-year age groups, sex, and five levels of educational attainment for the years 2000-2050. In this study, taking into account differentials in fertility, mortality and migration by education level, we present educational attainment projections.